Wednesday, November 20, 2013

"METEOROLOGÍA : "CLEOPATRA"DESASTRE Y CONFUSIÓN EN ITALIA"

Hola a todos,

Como suele decirse en estos casos, la meteorología ha mostrado su parte más destructiva los pasados días en Italia especialmente en su isla de Cerdeña. La causante ha sido la borrasca bautizada con el nombre de "Cleopatra" que pocas horas antes había regado en exceso buena parte de la ribera mediterránea española e islas Baleares.

Lamentablemente 16 personas han fallecido victimas de las riadas que según datos de Rete Meteo recogidos de la página de Meteo Giornale han registrado las siguientes lluvias en el transcurso de 24 horas:
385,6 litros/m2 en Dorgali Filitta,378,2 a Oliena, 316,4 a Vilanova Strisaili. Otros pequeños observatorios situados en zonas montañosas  han recogido hasta 440 litros con posibles picos superiores en zonas superiores que no cuentan con estaciones meteorológicas. Anteriormente, el sábado se habían medido casi 200 litros en Villacidro en la zona del Medio Campidano donde se han originado fuertes aluviones y desprendimientos. La intensidad de la lluvia no tiene precedentes en la zona ya que en un sólo día se ha recogido la precipitación normal de 6 meses. Con ello deducimos facilmente que la precipitación anual de la zona está en el entorno de los 700-800 milímetros que correspondería a un nivel ligeramente superior al de Barcelona que está alrededor de los 580/600 litros año.



http://www.meteogiornale.it/notizia/30119-1-le-incredibili-immagini-dell-arrivo-del-ciclone-su-olbia

Imágen video de Ivan Gadari de Metegiornale    http://www.meteogiornale.it.


  Recomiendo su visita.

La zona afectada tiene una población de 1,6 millones de habitantes, siendo la zona más castigadatada la del Norte de Cerdeña. La ciudad más afectada ha sido Òlbia y la de mayor número de víctimas mortales Nuoro al Este.Es una isla relativamente pobre comparada con la media italiana con un P.I.B de 17.813 euros cuando la media italiana es de 23.470 y tiene un índice de paro del 18,5% siendo la media del país del 12,8%. Ello confirma que los desastres siempre (o casi) afectan a los más necesitados. Además Italia tiene unas características que la hacen muy vulnerable a los desastres naturales dado su relieve,su clima mediterráneo y los espacios urbanizados que no siempre han tenido en cuenta los riesgos de avenidas violentas ( como otro país que me callo ).Hoy sólo citamos su sismicidad y riesgo de erupciones volcánicas.

Naturalmente se atribuyen estos episodios violentos al calentamiento climático, sin citar las copiosas nevadas que permitirán iniciar la temporada de esquí el 24 de noviembre. Esto por no citar las nieves del pasado invierno. En que quedamos: ¿ nos calentamos o nos enfriamos ?. Chocan las dos teorías la de los llamados ( no por mi) "calentólogos" con la de los "negacionistas" (tampoco uso la expresión). Los primeros  digamos que siguen la línea clásica del "main stream" o corriente general y los segudos, los "cambioescépticos" o " negacionistas" formarían parte de las nuevas corrientes y los estudios más recientes. Ambos suelen presentar posiciones irreductibles.Cuando hablamos de CLIMA así en mayúsculas me interesa más el futuro que el pasado especialmente cuando el calentamiento que preocupa a tantos es en términos climáticos reciente.Lo considero pero me cuesta confiar en su proyección futura. ¿podemos hablar con conocimiento de causa del año 2100?

Otro aspecto que quiero tratar es el uso de la palabra ciclón para referirse a una borrasca. Ciclón parece que para cierta prensa y/o opinión pública es más contundente que baja, borrasca o depresión. Si, parece que ciclón es muy parecido a tifón o monzón pero nada de eso.

Según Wikipedia la definición de ciclón es la que sigue :

"En meteorología ciclón usualmente suele aludir a vientos intensos acompañados de tormenta; aunque también designa a las áreas del planeta en las cuales la presión atmosférica es baja. En esta segunda acepción el significado de ciclón es equivalente al de borrasca, y es el fenómeno opuesto al anticiclón.
Los ciclones y anticiclones tienen una importancia fundamental en la generación de los vientos o corrientes atmosféricas. En efecto, un área de bajas presiones genera vientos al atraer las masas de aire atmosférico desde las zonas de altas presiones o anticiclónico".

La misma Wikipedia define borrasca como sigue: (reproducción parcial pero sin correciones)

  Una zona de baja presión, o una borrasca, es una región donde la presión atmosférica es más baja que la del aire circundante. Las tormentas tropicales, ciclones extratropicales, y los ciclones polares y árticos, reciben el nombre de células de baja presión, especialmente en comunidades anglo-parlantes.
Las borrascas se asocian normalmente con vientos fuertes y elevación atmosférica. Esta elevación suele producir cielo cubierto, debido al gradiente térmico cuando el aire se satura. Así, las borrascas suelen traer cielos nubosos o cubiertos, que pueden minimizar la temperatura diurna tanto en verano como en invierno. Esto se produce por la entrada de menos radiación solar de radiación de onda corta y temperaturas más bajas, ya que las nubes reflejan la luz solar. De noche, el efecto de absorción de las nubes en la onda larga, como el calor de la superficie, permite que las temperaturas diurnas sean más frescas en todas las estaciones del año....

Bien Wikipedia no es el "gran pozo de ciencia" necesariamente, pero para lo tratado resulta adecuada.




http://demo01.servidornoticias.com









FUERTE CICLON CAUSA 16 MUERTOS EN LA ISLA ITALIANA DE CERDEÑA, 19 de Noviembre 2013


Nada más por el momento. Parece que ya estamos en invierno y que las temperaturas bajarán marcadamente a partir de ahora. Nevará fuerte en las cordilleras orientadas al Norte y quizás tengamos sorpresas con nieves noviembrinas en lugares no esperables.

Saludos a todos.


Mariscal Tro

Fuentes: La Vanguardia, MeteoGionale, citadas al pie y propias.




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